NBM

National Blend of Models

NOAA · 2.5 km CONUS · 264 hours · Hourly

Latest Run: 20260529 18Z
Generated 3 hours ago

What This Model Is Showing

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A consensus forecast blending GFS, NAM, HRRR, ECMWF, and others. Produces a single best-of forecast — what most consumer apps actually display.

Best for: Consumer-friendly best forecast, blended consensus, default outlook

Temp

NBM · 13 frames
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How to Read NBM Charts

The Consensus Forecast

The NBM (National Blend of Models) is unique — it's not a weather model itself. It's a statistical blend of GFS, NAM, HRRR, ECMWF, and several other models, combined with recent observations and historical bias correction.

The result is usually the single most accurate forecast product available, because it takes the best aspects of each model and averages out their individual errors.

Temperature maps from NBM are what most weather apps actually display when they show you "the forecast." The colored contours show predicted 2-meter temperature (what you feel at ground level) in Fahrenheit.

For equestrians: NBM temperature forecasts are your most reliable source for planning around heat stress, freeze risk, and general comfort. If NBM says 95°F, plan for 95°F. It's usually within 2-3 degrees.

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